The Strange Case of Dr Chippy and Mr Keith: Will Hipkins be the Next Starmer?

...[T]hat insurgent horror was knit to him closer than a wife, closer than an eye; lay caged in his flesh, where he heard it mutter and felt it struggle to be born....”
― Robert Louis Stevenson, The Strange Case of Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde

It is hard not to feel a bit optimistic watching Chris “Chippy” Hipkins present as a pragmatic but determinedly progressive leader on Big Hairy News, but we have been here before. NZ Labour are like Lucy in Peanuts repeatedly pulling away the football at the last minute, with the proviso that in this analogy NZ Labour are also Charlie Brown. They believe their own lies more than the electorate does. Like other “centre-left” parties in the Western “democracies”, they are a collective human embodiment of the fallacy called an “argument to moderation”. For decades the right have been pushing extremist policies with no concern for public opinion, and the tepid “centre-left” response actually normalises the right-wing shift. Worse still that right-wing is often a faction within the supposedly leftist party. Our own neoliberal turn in the 1984-90 Labour government is an anti-democratic case in point, as is Clintonism, Blairism and Starmerism.

Currently the UK is finding that the Labour Party it voted for is extremely right-wing. Can we be headed the same way? All things being equal we might be quite relieved to have Chippy back as PM with his ability to come across as something other than a sociopath, a fascist, and a grifter – a skill which Luxon, Seymour, and Peters all seem to lack. All things being equal we might be slightly reassured that on BHN he rejected neoliberalism and claimed to more inclined towards Keynesianism. But things aren’t equal. They never have been and they are even less so now. The golden age of Keynesianism wasn’t just an outcome of Keynesianism. It occurred when parties like NZ Labour (Te Rōpū Reipa o Aotearoa) were full of socialists pushing for socialist policies. Now we face a massive international turn to the extreme right which is playing out in our own country. 

Many people foresaw the direction which UK Labour was taking after Jeremy Corbyn’s ouster in 2020 and it became common for critics to refer to the new leader as “Keith” Starmer. This jeering (for example this parody song Pasokeithication) turned out to be far more insightful and prescient than any of the paid political commentators could manage. Now that Starmer is in Downing St. it is striking that the people who best predicted his policies were those who loathed and mocked him. It is a measure of the current state of politics.

The rules of the game are changing, and short of a massive shift in Labour Party politics the best we can hope for is Dr Chippy adding the odd bandaid and sending a few more ambulances to the bottom of the cliff. At worst though Hipkins (or his replacement) will be the thuggish Mr Keith rather than the boyishly ebullient Dr Chippy so beloved by middle New Zealand. Mr Keith will exploit the accelerating shitshow and clusterfuck that this coalition is becoming to empower a continued swing rightward. There is also a threat to Te Pāti Māori and the Greens (Te Rōpū Kākāriki) as there is also a move to solidify duopoly politics as a form of bifurcated fascism. Already Mr Keith has reared his ugly head in response to Green MP Tamatha Paul stating that she had been told by some constituents that a police presence makes them feel less safe.

Mr Keith’s response was to say: “Tamatha Paul’s comments were ill-informed, were unwise, and in fact were stupid. I don’t think responsible Members of Parliament should be undermining the police in that way.” This betrays a lot about his instincts and whom he identifies with. He is both punching left and punching down. It is not a straightforward political calculation either as there was a huge opportunity to score from the Coalition’s outraged spittle-flecked gammon responses while appearing to be the voice of reason. Luxon called her “insane” for reporting the words of her constituents and there is ample room to attack him profitably for this without being seen as an enemy of the police. Hipkins instead chose to give a free-pass to his political enemies and attacked his allies. It shows his authoritarian instincts and shows that his idea of the “public” is an ideological construct that excludes vast swathes of the public who have to live in a different world than he will acknowledge. By rejecting criticism as “undermining” he betrays the childish magical thinking of the elite who believe that dysfunction doesn’t exist if you don’t talk about it. He evinces an increasingly decadent form of groupthink (which I discuss below) that is international in scope.

The Global Context

Politics in the Western world (particularly in the Anglosphere) has clearly become co-ordinated. This emanates from a cluster of think-tanks, astroturfing organisations and para-governmental lobby groups (such as ALEC in the US that has drafted much legislations). The most evident symptom is the transnational political communications industry with its migratory talking points such as the millennial’s smashed avocado canard (which became a right-wing politician’s favourite despite originally being used ironically as a satire on boomer conservatism). Increasingly “communications” has become a key concern in policy decisions. This mimics the existing situation in the US where each high level politician is effectively a product to be marketed and thus must put such considerations foremost in all propositions.

One of the symptoms of the creeping fascism that has taken hold in the West is that the techniques of political campaigning have become a perennial tool of governance. In the old days a politician only had to lie to the plebs for a month or so to secure years of tenure where they answered to no one but the civil service. Ideally the public would barely know what the ruler did in that time, let alone need to be brainwashed into violently demanding that the ruler do it harder. 

The reason our politics have turned fascist rather than merely authoritarian is precisely because of the need to maintain a pretence of democracy under the guise of an imposed form of populism. The techniques of mass manipulation have been refined to a science which I will refer to here as “shitfuckery”. In the 1950s national security states were built on bipartisan anti-communist shitfuckery. In the 1980s neoliberal states were built on bipartisan anti-socialist anti-worker shitfuckery. Now we are facing a market-fascist technofeudal state being built on bipartisan socailly reactionary shitfuckery. Previous bouts of shitfuckery acted to constrain the state against unwanted democratic influence, but this bout is evidently the beginning of a process intended to dismantle much of the state in favour of more direct oligarchic control not dissimilar to that seen in dystopian cyberpunk narratives.

This may feel very distant from Aotearoa or may feel very close depending on what you are focussing on at any given moment. On the one hand we have Blackrock, and Marc Andreessen’s a16z, and Citizen Thiel, and Brookfield, and a “bipartisan” push for more Public-Private Partnerships, and concern about a billionaire remaking NZMe into an even more right-wing organisation, and the Regulatory Standards Bill, mass public sector layoffs, Atlas Network apparatchik David Seymour’s unexplained power and impunity despite being an incredibly unpopular politician whose party won only 8% of the party vote, and the push for a “NZ DOGE”.  On the other hand someone could argue that adding all of these things together comes far short of adding up to revolutionary change. The question is, just how much should we be concerned

There are four things that we can tell from the foregoing list. The first is that this country is clearly hooked into a global movement. The second is that there is a clear direction of travel to the right. The third is that this is not constrained to an ideology of conservatism or anything that might be considered centre-right. There are multiple strains in this global movement but they are all extreme right teleologies sharing a fascist ethos. The fourth thing is that people are not taking this even remotely seriously enough. At the electoral level politics is governed by a paradigm that has been subverted because the political right are consciously acting to change the parameters of the Overton window while the political “left” are led by mostly right-wing individuals.  

Paris Marx featured Aotearoa as an early adopter in the recent spate of global DOGE-style politics:

After the election, Musk congratulated National leader Christopher Luxon, writing on Twitter/X, “Congratulations and thank goodness!”

Luxon’s government is the most conservative to run New Zealand in decades, in part because of the outsized influence ACT leader David Seymour has played, despite his party holding only 11 seats. In February, Seymour was asked whether New Zealand needed a DOGE of its own. “We do have a Ministry for Regulation that is doing what some people in America are talking about,” he responded.

After taking power, Seymour formed the Ministry for Regulation with the goal of cutting regulations across government. He said that would be necessary to increase economic growth and productivity, and more recently scolded his fellow citizens to “get past their squeamishness about privatization.” But Seymour’s Ministry wasn’t just about pushing right-wing economic policy; it was also a power grab to ensure his goals can be realized.

The Rat-shit Parties and the Ratchet System

There is a calculated move by multiple actors to change the political landscape. If they make radical change then only radical repeal can counter. Hence one of the greatest dangers we face is not from those who identify as being on the right, but from those who pose as the left, but are incapable of being genuinely of the left. Throughout the Anglosphere and beyond there is a co-ordinated ongoing project to ban all genuine left-wing thought from electoral politics. The right-wing ratchet of politics is rapidly approaching a market fascist apotheosis that will unleash genuine nightmares if we cannot break this cycle. In Aotearoa we should currently be most on guard for a complete right-wing takeover of the Labour Party in the mould of Starmer in the UK. Rather than being moderated by Te Pāti Māori and the Green Party, the resulting coalition would be a trap designed to destroy the coalition partners by forcing them to alienate their electoral base.

The very concept of the left is being subsumed in a new paradigm wherein the moderate arm of an increasingly kleptocratic anti-democratic elitist oligarchy is labelled “left”. The basis of the thinking is that if your proposals for general welfare are not Swiftian solutions based on your belief that unsuccessful people are better off being humanely converted into fertiliser, you must be a bleeding-heart lefty with a weird soft-spot for the peons. In this discourse Thatcher and Reagan become moderates, if not centrists, and such historically disparate conservative German chancellors as Merkel and Bismark are recast as being centre-leftists. This creates a system in which people are trapped into supporting the right against both their interests and their will.

A political duopoly is of the utmost importance in such systems. The US is the exemplary model where two parties with ever more right-wing politics maintain an artificially balanced political landscape by actively avoiding any organically popular policies. One party foments populist fascist fervour, while the other (the rat-shit party) takes the principled stance of tutting while creeping fascism takes over the country. A shocking insight into the profundity of the problem can be gained by watching Jamaal Bowman (who was primaried and ousted by the Dems for being against genocide) talking to Briahna Joy Gray. Taken with other material it becomes clear that at that level of politics there is an interlocking multiply-redundant system of control that works as both direct coercion and as effective mind control. Bowman, a victim of this system, defends it and indeed seems to have internalised it as a dominant part of his self-identification. Like Winston Smith he has come to love his torturer and exult in his own persecution.

The Democrats offer no alternative to creeping fascism – only occasions of partial and temporary respite. Their leadership consciously undermines progressive reforms on which they base their appeal, such as Biden cynically normalising relations with Cuba just hours before leaving office, or putting forward progressive legislation and then applying no pressure to the “rotating villain” who is predictably able to block the legislation. It is the overtly hateful and hurtful rhetoric and policies of the Republican Party that generates votes for both sides. Meanwhile some element of the Democrat leadership seems always to persuade the Party that the only response must be to also embrace hate, but slightly less enthusiastically. 

The duopoly system works by one party openly campaigning as right-wing while another campaigns as “centre-left”, but is controlled by people who knowingly or unknowingly have very right-wing politics. Hipkins is be just such a creature.

I was inspired to write this article in response to a recent piece published by 1/200 is entitled “Chris Hipkins is a Pathetic Loser”. The anonymous author of this piece doesn’t tell us if she thinks being a “pathetic loser” is a bad thing in a Labour leader, but the article is actually quite critical of Hipkins. The acerbic wit and lines such as that suggesting that Hipkins might be a “piece of white bread made sentient by a witch” reveal the identity of the unnamed author, who can be none other than a grudge-laden Jacinda Ardern. Clearly Ardern has finally seen through this sausage-roll eating everyman bullshit which is just a persona to hide a man whose ambition makes him a slave to established power.

I may possibly be mistaken about Jacinda Ardern embracing communism and submitting articles to such a disreputable site as 1/200, but it is almost certainly true that she, like Hipkins, would not have thought of herself as right-wing in any sense. Ardern seemed to want to be a democratic leader, and I think that says something about our political culture that her understanding of actual democracy was reminiscent of Marie Antoinette’s understanding of actual hunger. Her response to right-wing flak and reactionary opposition to reform was to try to use executive power to push reforms through without trying to develop a popular mandate. As a “communications” graduate it probably seemed totally natural to separate her paternalistic policy decisions from the opinions of the unwashed masses. For Ardern campaigning seemed to be an instrument to gain power by seeming slightly more credible when making almost exactly the same promises as the opponent. It makes sense in the same way that if in a quiz tiebreaker your opponent has guessed that Mt Everest is 858 metres high, you will win by saying it its 859 metres high. The lesser evil is still evil, and being very slightly less shit means you are still shit. After Obama’s 2008 presidential campaign, Western “democracy” has become ever more lost in a politics of marketing sentiments with little pretence of having a coherent political ideology.  

Keith Hipkins is at best an inheritor of Ardern’s narrow and manipulative elitism. The Chippy persona might be in some sense real, but I don’t think it means anything in the rooms where decisions are made. The wishes of the electorate are to be assuaged, not obeyed – not even heeded. Instead Hipkins will reliably turn to the high priesthood of late-stage capitalism and piously obey their instructions on whom to throw into a volcano to avert the wrath of the Almighty and Vengeful Economy. (After all, why would anyone question the orthodox authorities when the entire planet and everyone on it is doing so incredibly fucking well?).

The danger that Keith Hipkins poses comes from the intensification in recent years of the ratchet mechanism. In the past the right side of politics has shifted the goalposts, while the rat-shit side simply failed to undo right-wing policies and has slow-walked progressive reform. When Ardern was not attempting reform by decree she was burying other reforms in Byzantine processes that were doomed to a slow fizzling death. This despite gaining the unprecedented mandate of an outright majority of the party vote in the 2020 election. Hipkins then made a bold point of his “bonfire of the policies” which drastically reduced the already negligible progressive impact of what could and should have been a transformative government. 

Events in the UK, though, have shown that a new game is afoot. It is a pokemonesque evolution of the neoliberal turns of Rogernomics, Blairism, and Clintonism. For a long time the abysmal policy failures of the right and the centre-right have been used to discredit a governing party implementing those policies in such a way that the opposing “centre-left” can move to the right. Both the tribal partisanship and the focus on individual personalities create space for successor governments to adopt the same ideological and policy positions as their vanquished political enemies with a few token changes. The most obvious example of this is the Tony Blair-led Labour government that came to power in 1997. That government’s neoliberal governance is often seen as the greatest victory of Margaret Thatcher in establishing the neoliberal dictum of TINA (There Is No Alternative) as a bipartisan orthodoxy. The electorate has different ideas, but as the events of Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour leadership show there is a powerful establishment consciousness that TINA must be enforced and that only a safe pair of hands can be allowed to steer the ship of state.

Starmer is just such a safe pair of hands, but his government is taking things far further than someone like Blair. His government has embraced the ridiculous under-regulated profiteering in the privatised water and energy sectors; they have cut benefits including a massive cut in funding for the disabled; and they are now contemplating a DOGE-like attack on public sector jobs which they are referring to as “Project Chainsaw” in reference to market fascists Javier Milei and Elon Musk. 

Squawkbox examined the moment in Westminster when Wes Streeting taunted the opposition:

‘We’re doing things Tories only talked about’, says red Tory health secretary – before going on to list cuts and warmongering.

Right-wing Labour Health Secretary Wes Streeting has ‘said the quiet part out loud’ and admitted that Starmer’s Labour is worse than the Tories and mounting an assault on the state and social security that British people depend on – and going further than the Tories ever dared

And, in a sign of how removed the red Tories are from the real lives and experience of ordinary people, he didn’t seem even to realise what he was giving away, instead boasting about it and claiming this was ‘change’ that people had voted for:

Not many did vote for it, of course: Labour gained far fewer votes in the last general election than in either of Jeremy Corbyn’s – achieving ‘victory’ only because it was manufactured by fascist Reform standing against Tory candidates, sometimes with fake candidates – and has only collapsed catastrophically since then and has done nothing to improve the lot of ordinary people, instead going to war on poor children, pensioners, the disabled, the sick, our NHS and on the public’s access to real doctors and nurses.

The UK Labour government is pursuing many policies that are to the right of its hated Conservative predecessors while chucking a bone of overdue tax-reform to the electorate, and that should worry us in Aotearoa. This only happens because of a long-term programme of elite-capture of the “centre-left” that bears some examination.

The Oxonian Candidate (Mk. 30)

Keir Starmer was groomed to play as a Labour politician despite having the thinnest of left-wing credentials. Part of the way political leaders are retrofitted to appeal to the plebs is a process of salting the mine. This term comes from the olden days when people would use shotguns and other methods to embed gold pellets into the walls of unproductive gold mines to convince credulous would-be buyers to part with their money. For a future politician you salt the mine with union, human rights, community and antiwar work. Thus people like Starmer, Obama and John Kerry are not fallen lefties (of whom there are plenty), but right-wing authoritarians for whom left-ish rhetoric is merely the means to the end of gaining power.

Western centre-left parties are following in the footsteps of the US Democratic Party by becoming more “broad church” and “big tent” ideologically. This is not a new phenomenon (as students of British Labour history well know) but now such parties no longer have the skeletal structure of an espoused social democrat ideology. They avoid referring to themselves as socialists and they would never think of socialism as an answer to problems. They have become amorphous blobs, like political slime moulds, without any defining shape or character apart from “in” or “out”. In these parties it is very easy for moneyed and/or security state interests to implant or co-opt those who they consider to be the best leadership for a potential governing party. 

Like the most brainless of little birds, the party faithful will accept the cuckoos in their midst even as they savagely attack and evict the genuine offspring of the original movement. Some of these cuckoos probably don’t even realise what they are. They are part of the generalised fascist drift of our age. They don’t understand the concept of having principles. They come through backgrounds such as student politics where they learn to lock away and cut the blood-flow to those human traits that might cause one to lose a debate or a grade. Principles are just another dead weight like self-doubt, indiscreet honesty, and intellectual curiosity. The trick is not to lie, but to learn to believe whatever fits the format in question. The answer is that Mt Everest is 859 metres in height and giving it even one more metre is an unprofessional extravagance. 

Moral, ideological and intellectual flexibility are ideal traits for success in a political party hierarchy. A party representative must represent the party. To do so without losing votes for the party they must unhesitatingly represent the views of the party as their own views. The shortest distance between two points is a straight line and thus in time the candidate in question comes to simply believe what the party tells them to believe. Any matters of principle will tend to arise from residual convictions held before joining the party. Those may or may not be profound and devout among those with an activist or union background, but those who come through student politics tend to have ideological flexibility and to see this flexibility as a moderating virtue. In other circumstances this flexibility might be a desirable trait, but it is destroying democracy because such amenable people are primed to be pushed by vested interests, by stultifying orthodoxies, and by incremental corruption.

Those parties that grew from working-class activism are very distant from their roots. Institutional and cultural changes have almost destroyed the educated working class that once provided a significant voice in politics. Party faithful for Aotearoa’s Labour Party are firmly in the middle class, including a large number of socially-conscious business owners. They are not a great bulwark against elite-capture of the party leadership. Without the direct personal stake in the welfare of the poor they don’t have the same instinctive aversion for shills in the same way that hippos don’t have an instinctive aversion for snakes. They are used to a world made benevolent for their ilk and will proudly look for the best in people, especially if they are on the same team.

The shills are not all elected officials, they can be advisors (such as those who are apparently the real power in the UK Labour government), or they can be external “experts” who incant the nostrums that fill and fatten the fatuous brains of the politicians. By nature, as non-experts, our elected representatives are giant vessels for received wisdom which they get from the extremely biased sources that they gravitate to. The result is a form of extreme collective stupidity sometimes referred to as “groupthink”. The main characteristic of groupthink is that it creates a safe space for irrational and baseless beliefs, if not extreme idiocy. Groupthink makes wisdom out of blatant fallacies, and it is the reason that the uneducated public has so often proven in polls to have better policy instincts than their leaders.

The concept of groupthink is only half of the story. The concept was first applied to politics as a form of apologism that assumes the best of intentions among decision makers. It was embraced by architects of the “tragedy” and “blunder” of the American War in Viet Nam to excuse their own brutal actions. On one hand this is a sickening response to a decade of brutal genocide that saw millions die in acts of horrific violence, and on the other hand it is an arrogantly privileged view from an elite that could never imagine that they might not really have been in charge. They created a myth of a scam with no scammer. In reality such “leaders” were and are easy marks for ruthless manipulators. Worse still they are impervious to any experts who question orthodoxy or suggest radical reform (however desperately it is needed). Being so replete with received wisdom and faith in the tenets of leadershipping (and, to be fair, generally overworked and overstretched) elected leaders are not at home to deep critical inquiry. As Jamaal Bowman exemplifies, they cocoon themselves in beliefs and pseudo-knowledge that is needed for them to function within the system in which they are embedded.

The Litmus Test

Do you think I am overstating things? Because I am not. Consider the example of reactions to the Gaza Holocaust. Admittedly NZ Labour has been a mixed bag, but they are not in power and who knows how they would run things if they were. Perhaps we could get some clue from the example of Australia’s Labor government. Their Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is not just a namesake of the redoubtable Francesca Albanese, but is himself a former pro-Palestine stalwart. As Crikey tells it: “Albanese was once one of Labor’s most outspoken MPs on the situation in the Middle East and arguably one of Labor’s most prominent pro-Palestine advocates.” Yet his centre-left government has been more anti-Palestine than our National-led coalition government (which includes David Seymour who is a pro-genocide fascist maniac). Aotearoa voted for a ceasefire at the UN in September while Australia abstained. 

We have witnessed the inaction of Western officialdom to the urgent need to act to stop the slaughter in Palestine despite clear public sentiment against Israel’s actions. For most normal people it is quite achievable to condemn and oppose Israel’s violence without qualification regardless of where they stand on Hamas or any other issues. Not so with the our social betters. Political, non-governmental and corporate leadershippers have been obtuse, callous, arrogant, cowardly and sometimes brutal in service of ignorance and death. Corporate leaders chose genocide over profits. Bureaucrats choose genocide over following the law. Academic administrators choose genocide over learning. NGO leaders choose genocide over reputation. Politicians choose genocide over winning elections. 

The unanimity is striking and worth taking a moment to contemplate. It is as if they are part of a CABAL or cult with a secret oath. It is as if no one is allowed to run an organisation if the security state doesn’t have material to blackmail them with.

There may be some truth to notions of global kompromat given what we know about the US approach to getting support for its genocide in Iraq, but the scale and scope of this compliance betrays a much broader disciplinary mechanism: a shared global but largely exclusive worldview. An elite groupthink. This is why I make snide references to “leadershipping”. I am referring to an ideology from the world of CEO-worship that has slipped into our political culture. It suggests that there is a discipline of leadership that is a form of expertise superior to that of people who actually understand the particulars of an issue. It is often wrapped up in the language of do-gooding NGO jargon, but it is at heart an elitist, authoritarian, anti-intellectual discourse. It is quite literally a fascist trait that has wrapped itself in a skin of paternal/maternal benevolence. It is also as ridiculous as it is dangerous. It has all of the flaws of technocracy but instead of giving power to narrow-minded nerds who vastly over-estimate their own competence, it gives the same power to baby-kissing buffoons and pillocks of the community who have perfected the art of failing upwards.

I could go into much more detail about the extraordinary failure to act appropriately displayed with frightening unanimity by our leadershippers. My expectations of these people have slipped lower than ever. It is hard to even believe their willingness to apologise for mass murder; their willingness to crush those who give so much of themselves in this heartbreaking helpless effort to force an end to this horror; their willingness to twist and ignore the words of experts and even the orders of the highest court on the fucking planet. 

People have been trying to point out for decades that lesser-evilism in US politics leads to pre-destined endpoint of pure evil. The same is true of incremental compromise on an individual level.  Compromise is compounding and it makes governments very dangerous. If you want to know how evil comes out of banality, it is through those habits of minor compromise that add up. A process of eliminating the uncompromising and conditioning the compromised ensures that in time institutions are populated with potential monsters. They await the time that they are asked to aid in the slaughter of innocents and they will click their heels and shout “Jawohl, mein Führer!” 

A key mechanism behind the creation of groupthink is an incremental intellectual compromise that is conjoined with the more obvious moral compromise. The reason that I emphasised received wisdom earlier is that there is an intellectual authoritarianism common to political leaders. High status individuals are, unsurprisingly, prone to the belief that status is an indication of merit. They have this pious faith despite some fairly obvious signs that our civilisation is decadent and incapable of even addressing existential threats of it own making. Worse still, expertise in our times is decreasingly determined by the problematic academic hierarchy and more influenced by late-stage capitalist institutions. Editors and publishers push certain individuals and even create “rockstar” intellectuals. Conjoined with the desires of the security state and the influence of plutocrat dominated think-tanks, it should surprise no one that the “authorities” thus promoted are usually bigoted and reactionary and often childish and highly emotional people whose ideas come from places of personal resentment. The ethos of merit is also a self-reinforcing dysfunction because these “intellectuals” have often succeeded in some area of scholarship but are promoted as experts on totally unrelated areas on the basis that they have big IQs. 

Having myself studied the acknowledged intellectual dysfunction of the US political leaders waging genocide in Indochina, it has long been clear to me that the problem did not end in 1975. Instead the very institutions that produced that dysfunction have proliferated and are clearly deployed consciously to shape the collective mind of leaders. Politicians, journalists, academics and bureaucrats are exposed to the “real world” in curated experiences such as ride-alongs or embedding. They become psychologically reliant on and subordinate to the professional who is given direct control over them, especially if there are safety concerns. For them the world is thus turned into a Potemkin village. We now have a system where all manner of interests are incentivised to control the beliefs and perceptions of leaders and have developed a lot of ways of doing so.

The cliché is “those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.” There is no shortage of absurdity in the world of supposed expertise. The discipline of economics has supplied a string of ideologues (stretching back to Malthus) who leverage relatively narrow empirical work to create massive sweeping constructions of dramatically bad political theory. Economics has came to function with massive over-reach, influencing policy in ways that have no valid basis. Moreover the neoliberal diktat is of late only plausibly linked (if that) to economic orthodoxy, yet it is treated by political leaders as some immutable Law that cannot be traduced: Thou mayst be tempted by the wailing of the children that hunger, but thou must gird thine loins and stuff parsley in thine ears. If thou dost feed the children The Economy will become wroth and He will smite one thousand and thirty-three for each one child that is fed by thine hand. 

The atrocity is that real avoidable suffering on a very large scale comes from following policy prescriptions that come from specious and often ludicrous claims of necessity. Harry Robson published an article in Watchdog reminding us that the government of Aotearoa used to work hard to ensure that there was full employment. They weren’t all leftists, they just did their job according to the actual mandate given to them. Comparing Aotearoa with Finland Gary Payinda asks “why can’t we have nice things too?” “You can't really call it socialism because they are a very market-based capitalist society.” In reality their government still has a residual belief in the public good, while ours are either hostile to the public good or credulously allow fake economic arguments to persuade them to continue a project of immiseration and vast inequality that worsens the material conditions of all but a fraction of a percent of the population. 

ITSE: It’s the Stupid Economics!

Neoliberalism will not be undone by NZ Labour. Dr Chippy might claim to be more Keynesian than neoliberal but he doesn’t really grasp what that would mean. He would not, for example, contemplate fundamentally changing the Reserve Bank Act. The NZ Labour Party is not a home for free-thinkers. Hipkins is not the only potential Keith. Keithness is endemic. Take Barbara Edmonds talking about PPPs. On Big Hairy News she defended PPPs as sometimes desirable even though they are inherently more expensive. Her reasoning is that the country must maintain “fiscal headroom” which is doubly fallacious because she takes a strong stance against using PPPs for critical infrastructure, so she is saying we have to spend extra on non-critical infrastructure adding an unnecessary fiscal commitment for the future (i.e. a self-perpetuating “fiscal headroom” problem) rather than simply raise the revenue. 

“Headroom” is the word of the day in the UK. Chancellor Rachel Reeves thrice boasted of her headroom creating plan in her spring statement. The Shadow Chancellor’s response to the statement invoked no less than 4 headrooms. Reeves replied with, “What the markets should see is that, when I have been tested with a deterioration in the headroom, we have restored that headroom in full. That is one of the choices that I made. He says that it is a sliver of a headroom. Well, it is 50% more headroom than I inherited from the Conservative party. When I was left with a sliver of headroom, I rebuilt it after the last Government eroded it.” All of this took me back to the grimmest days of the 1980’s, not because of the impending austerity, but because Reeves’s answer has clearly exceeded Max Headroom. I am not going to apologise for that last sentence, so let’s just move on to the fact that the UK news media are also pretty keen on the word “headroom” at the moment. The sudden rise and apparently crucial status of a word indicates that it is employed as a “thought-terminating cliché”. Edmonds use of the term is not reassuring and it is worth noting that the very concept of “headroom” is absolutely antithetical to the Keynesianism that her Party leader pretended to espouse.

“Headroom” is just another in a 50 year-tradition of economic concepts being used selectively to reject governing according to the will of the public. We live in a completely Freidmanite world – conquered by stealth and perfidy – where the government cannot act in favour of the poor because that is deemed to contravene market forces, but it can favour the rich because it is supposed that market forces will correct any economically harmful activities. Apparently that means that we don’t have to worry about politics being totally corrupt because the market will always stop it from being corrupt. It is all just a scam being made credible by economists. In reality no economic theory can provide policy prescriptions or prohibitions without context. Governance is bigger than economics. In fact, as I suggested earlier, economics is bigger than economics. Sermonising about economistic pieties such as “fiscal headroom” is merely a thought-control technique to justify unjustifiable schemes against the public interest, of which PPPs are a mere sub-category.

Edmonds’s other PPP defence was a dismal response to Pat Brittenden questioning whether it is possible for PPPs to provide cheaper outcomes when they always add the expense of a profit margin. She answered, “Some would say it is possible and because PPPs are actually found quite commonly around the world, but also it comes down to that risk threshold and that affordability threshold which is agreed to a negotiate at right at the beginning. So if the risk is low enough then yes it will be cheaper for the private sector because they won't have the risk of basically having to pay out more at a later date. So I'm assuming that's where it would be cheaper however the major thing for us again get it right from the start and when the negotiations have to be really really good.”  I do not know about you, dear reader, but that sort of answer makes me utterly furious, not least because people like Edmonds actually seem to think that this sort of nonsense makes them the adults in the room.

Economist Craig Renney has a sobering “bluffer’s guide” to PPPs and concludes “There might at the very edges be a good case for a PPP, but it would be very rare. Great financial cases for PPPs would be even rarer.” What he implies, but does not state outright, is that there is an inherently antagonistic relationship here. The transfer of risk, which is a major justification for PPPs given by both Labour and National Parties, is something that the private corporations will do everything they can to avoid. It doesn’t take a genius to work out that private companies take government contracts to avoid risk, not take it on. It is worse than that because PPPs create a whole new level of risk because there is the intrinsic risk that the private enterprise will succeed in creating unearned income from the deal. Renney emphasises the Byzantine complexity of these arrangements and it is worth remembering that you cannot rely on good faith from these actors. While a hypothetical case can be made for that unique alignment of the planets that makes a PPP worthwhile, the practical history of PPPs reveals a litany of disaster for governments. Their Private Partners in this (for example the Compass Group) do not suffer the reputational damage that one should expect after profiting handsomely from failure. 

There are three reasons why private enterprises are repeatedly allowed to effectively steal from the public with support from elected officials. The first is corruption, which includes perfectly legal acts done to show donation-worthiness to the “business community”. The second is an ideological project to increase inequality, destroy public services, and create a plutocratic feudal society with social-Darwinist pretensions. The third is the stupidity displayed perfectly by Edmonds when she said “PPPs are actually found quite commonly around the world....” This is groupthink. She is responding to a plain argument against PPPs with an argument from moderation. It may seem arrogant to go against the conventional “wisdom” of Western governments, the IMF, the World Bank, The Economist, ad very much nauseum; but the real arrogance is to fob people off with half-arsed defences of this bullshit. 

Mr Keith is a Liberal Zionist

The Keithness of NZ Labour is most easily seen in the party’s liberal Zionism. Liberal Zionists support a project of injustice by selectively opposing the most obvious injustices and artificially separating those offences from the very enterprise that brings them about. There are two very important aspects of liberal Zionism that are apposite. One is that liberal Zionists will never devote serious energy to stopping the things they decry that are done in the name of Zionism. Every salient atrocity instead brings them to a fervour of #NotAllZionists hand-wringing and an Olympic-speed sprint to distance themselves from Netanyahu and his right-wing buddies. The second thing to note is that they constantly shift ever more into endorsing the very things they claim to oppose. At times of crisis they become full-throated pro-genocide cheerleaders. For example, every single person the world over who has endorsed Israel’s “right to defend itself” by unleashing violence on Gaza knew that masses of innocents would die or were already dying. Israel has no such right. It is this combination of ignorance, incurious stupidity, and the sheer evil of choosing to make apologies for the massacre of innocents that typifies the actual fascism of Western governments. 

Israel has been doing things that liberal Zionists claim to abhor from its inception. The situation since 1967 has grown increasingly stark. If liberal Zionists were what they pretend to be every joule of their energy would be devoted to ending the genocidal creeping annexation of East Jerusalem and the West Bank, and the genocidal siege and slaughter inflicted on Gaza. Instead they contend that the features of the Zionist project are bugs. Every liberal Zionist the world over now supports the illegal settler movement in some form when they used to play at opposing it. Aotearoa is no exception. In 2015 Dr Vacy Vlazna discussed our much vaunted draft UNSC resolution on illegal settlements:

NZ normalises Israeli atrocities by falsely presenting Israel and Palestine as equal perpetrators and equal victims and by pushing the demand that Palestine gives up its endeavour for justice in the International Criminal Court thus letting Israel off scot-free for its monstrous war crimes and crimes against humanity. 

While NZ demands that Israel freezes its rapacious settlement expansion..., it absurdly promotes the farce of negotiations that expand settlements. There is no demand by NZ that the zionist infiltrators leave the present settlements that have illegally expropriated half of the remaining Palestinian West Bank.

NZ obediently keeps up the pretence of a two state solution when Netanyahu has repeatedly ruled out Palestinian sovereignty.

The reaction to the injustice is not to act to prohibit the act, it is an attempt to regulate it. This is the equivalent of abolishing prosecutions for murder and replacing them with a regulatory framework seeking to place a limit on how many murders a perpetrator commits and to ensure that murders are hygienic. While not enforced by any material means, if these regulations are not obeyed the murderers could face the tepid prospect of additional unenforced regulations being imposed. Regulating something like this normalises it, and since the limitations are ignored such moves only benefit the genocidal project.

The neoliberal state is another abomination that has been embedded and strengthened by pseudo-opposition. The rat-shit “centre-left” equivocates between those who would crush the poor, exploit them for obscene gains, and send them broken to an early grave; and those who suggest that we not do those things. Since there is a power imbalance between exploiter and exploited that equivocation is effective endorsement. The welfare of the people is seen as a luxury to be attended when propitious circumstances allow, while more generally the rat-shit leaders act according to the dictates of the market fascism (because that is what The Economy needs).

Liberal Zionists showed their true colours in October of 2023. It wasn’t the first time. Every time that a pretext is there to do so liberal Zionists endorse Israeli violence and at some discretionary time later decry the inevitable results of the thing they endorsed. So too of neoliberalism. Economic shocks have been used to push radical destructive reforms. However on both counts there is now a sense that what once had to be sold as abnormal is now to be cemented in place as the permanent state of things. We know that even as mass-murder and ethnic cleansing accelerates in Palestine no major party in most Western countries is going to break with liberal Zionism and the pompous pseudo-humanitarian performance of pushing a “two-state solution” (as if that was not an effective endorsement for genocide). There are worrying signs that a similar uniformity is taking hold in the face of radical attacks on the public good. 

“Welfare liberals” are falling in line with market-fascist thinking. The distinction between a “welfare” and “classical” liberals has always been a falsehood. From the outset the ideology that came to be known as “liberalism” was freighted with two hideous incurable tumours – the primacy of property rights and a religious belief in The Economy as an entity. I have made reference already to human sacrifice and this is no exaggeration. When the Great Famine broke out in Ireland the Tories liberalised the grain trade, but it did not help. When the Whigs gained power in Westminster in 1846 they decided to go much harder and cancelled government relief efforts to help starving Irish people altogether, relying on the market completely. A measure of just how successful the approach was is the fact that Ireland still has a lower population than it did in 1841. This is because they sacrificed hundreds of thousands of lives to save the economy but this actually left the economy completely wrecked. 

Far from The Great Famine being an occasion for ideological reform, the British government shifted this brutal form of genocide to India, where on multiple occasions they banned the provision of relief to people suffering famine caused largely by the British Empire’s commodity-hungry and resource-extracting economic policies. Tens of millions died slow painful helpless deaths in a series of events spanning decades. The same people who murdered these millions cited free-trade for the sake of the economy but had no hesitation in preventing Indian commerce from competing fairly with British rivals. 

While privileged liberal ideologues indulge themselves by rejoicing in the moral superiority of their negative liberty, it has always been the case that liberalism is selective in offering its bounty of freedom. The British and US empires have been prolific in incarcerating, torturing and killing those who exercise their freedom of speech if it threatens imperial “interests”. We see in such instances that the enemies of Western benevolence are “militants” and “terrorists”, whose “terrorism” may in fact be such dire acts as pamphleting, teaching children, organising a strike, or wearing glasses. Freedom of speech exists so long as your speech doesn’t threaten the existing power structure, and now that the Western hegemony has become ideologically fragile we see that the news media have lost their sense of flexible loyalty and have become rigid regime propaganda. Speech is becoming more openly policed. This may currently seem like a Palestine exception, but will clearly be applied to other issues immanently. “Antisemitism” has been a very useful and powerful tool to overcome residual human rights sentiments, but other pretexts are available including “grooming”, “woke”, “radicalism”, and the old faithful “terrorism”. 

Liberalism has always offered freedom for me and an agonising death of starvation for thee. Friedrich Hayek even made a point in The Road to Serfdom of arguing that freedom necessarily includes the freedom to starve to death in a gutter. This book is beyond problematic and anyone who looks beyond its reductionist premise will find that every page drips with evil. It is a work of fanatical utopianism that airily espouses a system of suffering imposed by state coercion of actual people in defence of abstract “freedom”. 

Welfare liberals have been lured though decades of indoctrination to view left-wing causes as indulgences and products of their own superior benevolence. They have no intellectual equipment to oppose market fascists if times of crisis are invoked. They are voting again and again to cause excess deaths and suffering by cutting welfare and public health services. The effects of this on the marginalised are real. The libs are opposed to “austerity” as such, but their argument from moderation is that we must have “fiscal prudence” (aka austerity) so that we can heal our poor wounded and bleeding economy. Once the economy recovers then the poor will once more benefit from their bounteous welfare charity (as long as we have headroom, naturally).

There are numerous problems with the idea that you have to restrict government services at times of crisis. We are always in times of crisis or recovery from crisis. Part of the manner in which economic governance has been hijacked from serving the public good is the sense of a permanent state of exception. Historically successful progressive reform has taken place without regard for the economic problems of the time. It happens when people decide that a more just world is necessary. Despite orthodox wisdom, these changes have massively benefited the economy while the belt-tightening impulses of liberals simply feed a vicious circle of dysfunction and inefficiency in the state and community sectors. 

The Road to Terfdom

Where welfare liberals have succeeded is in extending the selective privileges of negative liberty to people who aren’t straight white men or able to pass as such. Identity politics is by no means unimportant and is not secondary, but liberal identity politics tends to favour the interests of those who are already comparatively privileged in terms of wealth and social capital. Another big problem that people have found in recent years is elite capture of identity politics. That said, even this top-down beneficence can have a profound effect in changing the day-to-day lives of marginalised people, giving them breathing room to be who they are and for their voices to be heard. Elite capture aside, the liberal rhetoric on this subject is actually true. The real problem is that these freedoms are not based on solidarity and genuine empowerment and thus they are all too easily reversed.

Any student of history who has thought about the topic will know that years of liberal progress can be undone in months or weeks. When it suits the state or the ruling class a given group will quickly become targets. Communal violence or persecution based on ethnic, religious, sectarian, caste or class identity arises almost instantly when desired. Examples include the persecution of Chinese in numerous Western settler colonies when their labour was made undesirable by economic factors; the drastic loss in status and material wealth of women after the Great War; and innumerable examples of selective or general anti-migrant sentiments arising just at the exact right time to provide a populist pretext for the state’s economically motivated crack-down on certain types of migrants. All of these things can happen without needing so much as a change in government, let alone regime, and they are starting to happen now.

The clouds of reaction loom darkly on the near horizon. The sudden reversal in women’s reproductive rights in the US is an opening shot. The global attack on trans rights is rapidly and predictably expanding into a broader fascist attack all forms of gender diversity including cis-people’s wrights to reject narrow gender norms. The powerful voices for “libertarian” ideals all seem by coincidence to be white supremacists and their “libertarian” ideals don’t seem to be any impediment to their open espousal imposing a form of serfdom on the vast majority of the population. The Venn diagram of market fascists, Christo-fascists, race fascists, male-supremacist fascists grows ever closer to a circle. The diversity that exists in their ranks is only one Night of the Long Knives away from extinction. Even if some bloody consolidation doesn’t happen, it is inevitable that the white male father will be crowned once again to stand alongside the bourgeoisie as assumed norms and assumed authority figures. This elevation, however, is a divide-and-rule strategy by a narrow elite who actually thinks of the average bourgeois white male as an insignificant bug. In late-stage capitalism the rulers are not bourgeois, they are an aristocracy cos-playing as self-made.

There is no need for a coup to bring about this fascist transformation. The so-called centre-left is happy to institute policies that further marginalise minorities and women by following economic policy prescriptions that deepen existing inequalities. The enthusiasm with which the UK Labour government is pursuing the same sort of policies as our ACT-led coalition, Javier Milei, and Musk’s DOGE shows that the centre-left is not to be trusted, or at least not their leadership. The main threat to the UK government’s massive attack on the poor, the vulnerable, and the state sector is opposition from their own party. 

Starmer and his ilk were never a credible electoral force. They won by default due to a string of ostentatiously terrible Tory governments making dramatically bad decisions. There has been a trend of this sort of thing. Our ridiculous ferry and school lunch incompetence stories are tepid versions of the grandiose incompetence displayed by the likes of Trump, Bolsonaro and Milei. Despite everything the UK electorate clearly didn’t trust Starmer. Labour won a massive landslide in seats taking two-thirds of the parliament, but they only had 34% of the popular votes. Given the poor turnout they won this huge landslide with only one out of every five registered voters casting a vote for them – and many of those votes would be for anti-Starmer Labour candidates. Labour did much much better under the “unelectable” Jeremy Corbyn.

Like Biden’s victory it is only the antipathy towards the other option that has led to these unpopular leaders gaining their position. In the case of UK Labour it is clear that this fact is overtly being used as an opportunity to inflict a massive programme of neoliberal attacks against the public interest. Elected or not, this is deeply undemocratic. The risible landslide ensures that the UK government can largely ignore the public and the left-wing within their own ranks. They may concede the odd fight, but by the time the electorate get to choose another government these decisions will be well entrenched (and electors might not have much else to choose from anyway). On Double Down News George Monbiot makes many of the same points I have made, adding that Labour are running to the right of every Tory government except Liz Truss, and that by doing so they are paving the way for the rise of an openly far-right political movement under Nigel Farage’s Reform Party. 

It is clear that there is a new phenomenon abroad, a new variant on the duopoly that supercharges the anti-democratic politics created by culture war which makes people choose the unpalatable rat-shit “centre-left” option because the alternative is a monster who only appeals to the delusional and the hateful. An interesting test case may be Canada’s Mark Carney. Despite his dubious establishment background Carney has progressive rhetoric, but this may just be the salting of a worked-out neoliberal mine. Carney ended a corporate carbon tax as soon as he became PM and cancelled slow-walked plans to increase Capital Gains Tax. It all seems depressingly familiar. In this case, the monster who differentiates Carney and gives him room to move right is Trump more than his actual opponent Pierre Poilievre. It will be interesting to see, assuming Carney wins, whether Trump’s hostility will create space for further neoliberal attacks on, say, Canada’s health system. I would be a lot less surprised by that than by a former reserve bank governor actually following through on his espoused progressive ideals. 

So far, the more the Coalition here in Aotearoa reveals itself to be a collection of idiots, lunatics, charlatans and fanatics the more Hipkins shows his Mr Keith side. His endorsement of the attack on Tamatha Paul should be put in the context of a long relentless dirty politics campaign against left-wing Green Party parliamentarians. In an MMP environment it may seem counterproductive on the surface to allow, let alone endorse, attacks on the caucus members of such a close ally. On another level there is a clear (if totally disgusting) rationale in that Labour’s leadership knows that a sizeable chunk of National voters will vote for them in the right circumstances, such as a disastrous pandemic or calamitous coalition government. But even if that is strictly true it is only a pretextual rationale because Labour could run as a left-wing party rather than trying to be the more credible and less cruel conservative alternative. Their electoral calculus is not neutral, it is bound by neoliberal TINA assumptions. 

How to Tell Four Lies in Only Two Assertions

On the “NZ Leftist Collective” podcast Samah Huriwai-Seger let it be known that she did not consider the Labour Party to be on the left. This provoked both disbelief and indignation from fellow panellists. Eventually the spluttering died down and some arguments were made around ways in which Labour policies have benefited people (including the “working for families” tax credit, which was fantastic apart from the tiny detail that it deliberately excluded the poorest children in the country). 

There were two reactions to Huriwai-Seger that were very telling. One was that all four other panellists (one being Labour MP Kieran McAnulty) made a point of saying that Labour wasn’t National. ACT or NZ First. This sounds very much like the political style of US Democrats and UK Labour, a fact which should send chills down the spine. Another was Craig Renney’s answer to Huriwai-Seger’s contention that Hipkins gave a “green light” to Israel’s genocide in Gaza. Renney pointed out that he had been in rooms full of Labour Party faithful who were unanimously opposed to the genocide. This is a completely fallacious understanding of the way party politics works. After all, if you were in a room full of UK Labour members 6 months ago you would have been very hard-pressed to find any who supported benefit cuts to disabled people let alone the entire package of right-wing measures that is at the very core of the current government. Renney’s thinking has no allowance for the elite capture of political leadership when that is perhaps the most important thing shaping policy, governance, and even ideology in our time. 

The question of Hipkins giving a “green light” to genocide when he was Prime Minister is beautifully illustrative. On the surface Huriwai-Seger might seem to have been reading a lot into Hipkins making the blandest of prevarications. In reality the conventionality of Hipkins response shows the power of groupthink to be violently immoral and deceptive in an offhand way. Asked directly about a “cutting of food, fuel, water and electricity” Hipkins answers that Israel “has a right to defend itself” but “there are international norms” of proportionality and “I’m not going to make a judgement on the specifics”. In a few short words he manages an incredible amount of lying.

The first lie is that Israel has a “right to defend itself”. It cannot claim self-defence against resistance forces as an occupying power. I covered this fully when the Gaza Holocaust first began. 

The second lie is that this is a question of “norms” rather than laws. Sieges for a legitimate military purpose are legal, but it is illegal to trap civilians or blockade food. This sort of blockade is also prohibited under clause (c) of Article ii of the United Nations Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide.

The third lie is the implication that this is not also a blatant violation of the Fourth Geneva Convention which obliges the occupant to ensure the welfare of the occupied. This is where a simple negation can hide Byzantine doublethink. Hipkins must have been given official advice on more than one occasion that Israel is the occupying power, yet it doesn’t seem to penetrate his smug-shrouded skull to think what this means in moral and legal terms. Huriwai-Seger references the fact that for people “who see themselves in Palestinians” this is a “green light for explicit genocidal intent”. I raise this here because even though Hipkins is clearly aware that Israel has an ongoing control over the movement of people and goods in and out of Gaza (including on the border with Egypt), Hipkins acts as if they are not committing blatantly cruel immoral and illegal act against a helpless population of non-combatants. The implications are that Hipkins doesn’t really think of Palestinians as being worthy of the same moral calculus that he would use for Westerners (including Israelis) and that he believes that International Humanitarian Law is actually just a bunch of fuzzy “norms” that for some reason makes no provision to prohibit this form of mass atrocity.

The fourth lie is the old complexity canard hidden in hidden in Hipkins’ refusal to judge “specifics”. We have seen a lot of this during the last 18 months. No matter how blatant and clear-cut the situation becomes people trot out old clichés of a complicated and intractable age-old conflict. In fact, there are no possible “specifics” that can justify inaction when someone announces that they are about to commit a crime. Hipkins had a clear moral and legal obligation to denounce Israel’s genocidal rhetoric and the actions taken to enact those threats. To plead that this is premature judgement is the same as saying that one cannot consider an obvious crime to be a crime until someone has been convicted of it. This is the equivalent of saying that no one can ever be an accessory to a crime because the perpetrator enjoys the presumption of innocence so it is impossible to be an accessory until a conviction has been entered. 

The fact that Hipkins is so egregiously deceptive and immoral in so few words shows the power of orthodoxy. His groupthink-captured mind is so immersed in a world of political compromise and politically-compromised intelligence that there is no actual bottom line. For anyone who is capable of putting aside racially-informed prefigurations, what he was confronted with when was a stark and alarming intent to inflict suffering and death on defenceless people. It had none of the usual camouflage. It was right there and people were already suffering and dying as it was put to him, and yet he found room to prevaricate.

One of the dangers is that “centre-left” political leaders see themselves as the adults in the room, but this prejudices them against understanding what is really going on. They are conservative and authoritarian in their choice of who to trust as sources of information. For example, Kieran McAnulty, on the same podcast I have mentioned, found out for the very first time that “defund the police” is not a call for abolishing the police. The slogan actually cohered after more than a decade of growing and uncontroversial awareness that the police have increasingly been used inappropriately to deal with problems arising from the underfunding of needed social services. It might be a bit of a stretch to go from that one piece of data, but it was noticeable that he was the only one on the panel of 5 to whom this was news. With exceptions for some specific causes, most Labour parliamentarians are not activists. As such they take the nonsense that is spread in mainstream circles as authoritative while tending to view those who have more knowledge and clarity as being emotional and overly partial. Increasingly on many topics they live in an information bubble that is controlled by fascist billionaires and, whatever their personal inclinations, that means they will default to fascist positions and then defend them against those they see as extremists.

As things stand, the rise of Mister Keith in this country seems like an inevitability. The economic mismanagement of the coalition and the terrible situation they are creating will be the ready excuse for continued austerity and continued attacks on the coherence of the public sector. The thing that might stop Chippy from going full Keith is the power of the Greens and Te Pāti Māori. 

Through no fault of their own Te Pāti Māori are less of a threat to the right simply because in our media and political ecosystem every move they make that energises progress also creates and equal and opposite reactionary excitement. On the other hand the campaign against the Greens is a clear fixation. The dirty politics that has long festered in this country has evolved into a more establishment-wide attack on the party that is becoming akin to the anti-Corbyn campaign. It is the fact that left-wing ideals have won control of the leadership of the party (rather than merely its members and voters) that has made it a target. In the past the party has been reliably neoliberal, with the party’s left-wing always disadvantaged by the politics of working with neoliberal-dominated Labour. 

Two-Faced Fascism

The new fascism that we face does not require a single Party nor a single Leader, but it must be able to exert the same level of control in its ability to foreclose on genuine democratic left-wing politics. As I have mentioned there is an existing international model of duopoly that exploits the ostensible diversity of a having a “liberal” and a “conservative” wing fighting like Lilliputians over egg prices as camouflage for actual uniformity. 

On 1/200 podcast recently Oliver reiterated a point made some time ago that this fascist shift is in response to a crisis in imperial hegemony and late-stage capitalism. As he points out, it is an alternative to a New Deal style reform or (I would add) the mollifying reforms that ended the uprisings of 1967-68. I believe that this time of crisis has been long foreseen and this fascist response has been in the pipeline for around 30 years. There is a neo-Malthusian, neo-feudal, neo-aristocratic, racist, market-fascist synthesis that is currently directing world events with a power vastly disproportionate to the political appeal to sane people. Because people are fixated with the rise of far-right populism they have been slow to recognise the hegemony of far-right ideas among the most elevated Western circles. As such many powerful, but not ultra-elite, people are adherents to and servants of a project that they do not understand.

All of the problems that face us have clear socialist solutions, but they can only be undertaken by rejection of the tumours of liberalism – economism and the selective fetishisation of property rights. From an ultra-elite perspective the problem with this is that it is democratising. Once people take control of economic functions to avert crisis, then they will have a very clear and compelling path forward to use that same control to create justice. They are clearly determined to allow crises to continue accelerating to the point of no return. It is no exaggeration to state that these people are pressing towards a future in which they are overlords in a world of slaves. 

The danger that the leftist Greens present is that the public is increasingly hungry for radical answers because the status quo is looking more and more frightening. Right-wing radicalism is embraced by the establishment proudly. Yet another important point raised by Samah Huriwai-Seger was that despite a long relationship the Greens have never had a cabinet position in a Labour-led government. In contrast Winston Peters has been Deputy PM and foreign minister under both Labour and National. In the current Coalition the minor parties both have 3 cabinet posts. In both cases they have pushed radical measures and have created massive headaches for the government. Labour’s leaders may or may not believe the rationales they use to explain keeping the Greens out of government, but the reality is that the establishment simply doesn’t trust people who are not ideologically captured. For example, who could imagine Chlöe Swarbrick answering a question about PPP in the way that Barbara Edmonds did? 

As business-as-usual answers become ever less credible, the power of socialist ideas becomes hard to suppress with the normal bullying superiority of privileged rhetoric. The ideological divide is becoming ever more clear. The centre cannot hold. The right are racing to end all possible expressions of democratic politics while rapidly creating a mass-movement of violent fascists from the discontents that they themselves are creating. The left has only truth and clarity on its side. Socialist answers are not abstractions. A socialist answer to a problem is to fix the problem, not to leave the problem because of a superstitious notion that acting directly to fix the problem will actually somehow make the problem worse. 

The establishment has been playing a game of whack-a-mole for decades in which it attacks any potentially transformative democratic politics with increasingly tired economic nostrums and irrelevant anti-communist screeching. None of it ever made sense, but as long as bad times could be relied on to be followed by better times it was a saleable bad-deal – like a high-interest car loan for an overpriced vehicle that you are buying for status rather than utility. Now we are starting to realise that a decent bus service is actually more important in the grand scheme of things. The establishment reaction is that if we don’t want to work our lives away to pay for a late model Ford Ranger, then we should die in a gutter as a salutary economic lesson. The crisis we face is not one of limits to growth it is one of limits to excess. Human productive power is so great that it far exceeds that required to maximise health and happiness. Once we start solving crises through direct socialised means we will inevitably address the injustices of inequality, and that will mean the end of the current world order.

The centre is collapsing on multiple fronts. The death/unmasking of liberal Zionism is the paradigm of our political moment. I highly recommend the book Palestine Hijacked by Thomas Suarez which shows that fascism became the driving ideology of Zionism in the 1920s and has secretly remained so since. If you go back a decade or two, right-wing expansionary settlers were considered a fringe of Israel’s political landscape and yet their project was underwritten by the state. Now Ben Gvir and Smotrich are at the centre of power, but also their “left-wing” opponents will never go back to the pretence of seeking peace with Palestinians under a two-state solution. The liberal Zionists have embraced ethnic cleansing and annexation and the smattering who can’t swallow that reality have had to turn against Zionism altogether. The same is true of liberals in the rest of the world. They have supported oligarchic capitalism on delusory grounds for so long that now the fascist pivot has come they are simply embracing it. They are establishment loyalists who believe that following the rules of “liberal democracy” must be safeguarded against the any socialist notions that might take hold amongst the credulous public. Liberal democracy, as Walter Lippmann wrote over 100 years ago, must be safeguarded against the will of the public by an elite who employ the “manufacture of consent”. 

For all of these reasons duopoly politics is essential. The duopoly is the new Fascist Party. The UK experience shows us that the only impediment to a “centre-left” party leading a radically far-right government is a genuine alternative with a parliamentary voice to strengthen the remnants of the left within the governing party. It may be that the end of this fascist turn only comes when polities like the UK and Canada end first-past-the-post voting and the US either stops being insane or stops being so relevant.

In Australia, where the duopoly is constrained by minor parties and independents, the duopoly have passed bipartisan (actually tripartisan) legislation vastly increasing political spending limits so that they can flood selected seats with money to get rid of such roadblocks. The tolerance for extreme right-wing minor party politics and the intolerance for any real left-wing politics is the same on both sides of the Tasman. 

Certain people in NZ Labour will be looking to take down the Greens and TPM wherever possible. By undermining the ability of their partners to achieve position themselves on the left, they also weaken their electoral support. Right-wing politics is fed by two things: rich people’s money and poor people’s sense of futility. Clearly we need to grow support for the left-wing of both of Labour’s potential coalition partners. 

Things Change

Samah Huriwai-Seger suggests that we might need a new left-wing worker’s party, but I think that the history of New Labour and the Alliance in this country shows hard limits in this approach. Without the extra constituency that a “green” or Māori party have to differentiate them they are easily smothered by Labour. Moreover we don’t need to follow the failed tactics of the past because we are not necessarily caught in the same trap that existed then.

A few years ago I would have considered NZ Labour to be an irredeemable shitlib smugfest of people madly in love with repeating the mistakes of the past. I would have considered an Aotearoan Jeremy Corbyn an impossibility because no sensible left-wing person would be part of NZ Labour. But things change. Labour voters, Labour members, and even most of the Labour caucus is not going to be wildly enthusiastic about repeating what is going on in the UK under Starmer’s Labour. 

Under Jeremy Corbyn the Labour Party became the largest party in Europe by membership. When the Labour leadership started using the undemocratic constitution of the party to over-ride the membership there was a mass exodus. This is understandable, but it was very frustrating to watch. Once the right-wing had showed its hand it was the perfect opportunity for a movement to organise the rank-and-file against the takeover of the party. It might seem hard when the putative left-wing Momentum movement in Labour had been subverted, but doing something that might have seemed futile at the time may have paid off. Starmer is unmasked for what he is. The antisemitism ruse is played out. Ordinary people abhor the Israel’s genocide and want action from their government. The US empire and its bullshit capitalism looks ever more alarming as Trump and his collection of fascists attack friends and enemies alike. If there had been a co-ordinated leftist movement to contest the heart of British Labour it might be looking well-positioned right now to change the government.

I don’t know whether Chris Hipkins is redeemable, but I believe that people like McAnulty and Edmonds genuinely want to be of the left. I think that people in NZ Labour can understand the need for genuine transformational politics. More importantly, though, I think that they can finally be brought to understand that the reason the Clark and Ardern governments were not transformational was that they never tried to be transformational. Loyalists can point to various things they did that benefitted people greatly, but the figures on things like housing and inequality show the underlying malaise. Labour members are as hungry for change as anyone else, the trick is to persuade them to stop deferring to failed leadershippers and to start relying on knowledge rather than authority.

A lot of people are starting to see an emergence of fascism in response to crisis, but another way of looking at it is that an extant fascism is unmasking itself because its liberal capitalist outer shell is cracked. It may be a terrible time, but it is a time of clarity and a time when there is greater hope for change than there has been for years. 

For better or worse there can be no armed revolution, our only choice is to use the institutions of liberal governance and make them into the democratic instruments that they purport to be. That must be a movement fighting on a thousand different fronts. Amongst many other things that means that Labour Party members have to end the elite capture of their party. They need to purge the establishment leaders and those creepy fucks who are linked to the security state. They can’t allow rule by advisors and they can’t keep accepting pragmatism as an excuse for right-wing governance. They need to stop worshipping Chippy. If he is not replaced or forced to change then he will be the next Starmer. If he is prevented from instituting austerity by coalition partners then his job will be to destroy those partners. Does he even know this himself? I doubt he does, but we do and that is more important. We shouldn’t continue letting the elite perspective persuade us that what we see isn’t real.

Can this happen before the next election? Maybe not. But every moment that passes makes our choice clearer. It is a choice of socialism or fascism (and there is no appetite for authoritarian “socialism”). This moment of clarity means that the disagreements of the left begin to look less important at exactly the same time that establishment liberal solutions reach a low point in public credibility. That means that there is a potential to penetrate through the media miasma. People don’t want Mr Keith and they do not need to accept him.

TIFA.

There is a fucking alternative.

Kieran Kelly researches and writes about genocide for his website ongenocide.com

Footnotes

¹ In other countries party structures place their emphasis on balancing appeal to local party members, local voters, and the party hierarchy. In the US the appeal is to party leadership, to donors, and to voters, but the major parties do not have a party membership so the representational mandate element is already reduced making the process far more of a sales pitch for the individual rather than a selected individual chosen to sell the party.

² In this, like many other things, fascism is a distorted mirror of the left. True left-wing governance involves a constant discourse with a thinking and involved public, a burden which “left-wing” governments have often proven to be disinclined to bear. Fascism, on the other had, seeks to empower its policies by a continual mobilisation of the public through brainwashing, by which I mean propaganda, by which I mean “public relations”, by which I mean “communications”.

³ I use the term brainwashing advisedly having myself studied Brainwashing 101 at a journalism school. That said, I did fail the first hurdle of brainwashing school, to wit the very first lesson in which we were meant to be brainwashed into believing that our brainwashing was not brainwashing and was in fact a crucial yet trivial service called “communications”. The reasoning was that the brainwashing techniques we were to be taught would not be used for brainwashing due to our professional ethics. These ethics were taken to be universal for absolutely everyone and backed by a rigid ethos sufficiently strong to survive in a world which runs on [checks notes] massive near universal corruption. Many of the successful brainwashing graduates probably went into harmless communications roles, but lets face it, people like Christopher Luxon do not get elected without the help of expert brainwashers.

⁴ There are two follow-up pieces first with a very frank Kshama Sawant, then a lengthy but sometimes revealing livestream in which Bowman and Cori Bush’s new podcast on Zeteo.

⁵ This is discussed in the livestream referenced in note iii.

⁶ I know it’s actually apocryphal. Fuck off please.

⁷ You are allowed to take a moment here to imagine political leaders as battling Pokemon. It is therapeutic.

⁸ Out of 57 British Prime Ministers Starmer is the 30th to be Oxford educated.

⁹ Along with the economic losses created by straitjacketing the government and by the economic effects of inequality, even the rich lose access to public services. Where they exist, the private replacements such as private healthcare, are plagued by antagonistic incentives to make profit where possible. The rich also lose freedoms and quality of life as these criminogenic policies create safety issues. They do not even save in taxes because the long-term costs generated by poverty are greater than the savings.

¹⁰ I want to note here that I am using this language as a familiar framework, but I do think that strictly speaking there can be forms of Zionism in the broadest sense that do not support or seek to justify any offences against Palestinians. When I use “liberal Zionism” I include Zionists of the left (if they can be called that), but I do want to acknowledge that there are a few radically pro-Palestinian Zionists out there who want a democratic homeland with no exclusive rights for Jews. I believe we should emphasise being pro-Palestinian over being anti-Zionist. I understand it makes little difference at this time, hence my adoption of standard anti-Zionist terminology, but there may come a time when having the clarity to remember that the fight is for Palestinian justice, safety and human rights, not against an abstract.

¹¹ Please read Elite Capture: How the Powerful Took Over Identity Politics (And Everything Else) by Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò.

¹² Under the Genocide Convention. This is putatively not enforceable because it is not in our genocide legislation, but I would argue that an obligation does not have to be judicially enforceable to be an obligation and that our growing tendency to believe otherwise (such as with UNSC resolutions that do not authorise force being labelled “non-binding”) is a sign of the metastasis of fascism in global politics. Moreover, as Craig Mokhiber has pointed out with regard to Yemen’s attacks on shipping, the obligation to act against genocide is jus cogens and thus is legally binding without specific legislation.

¹³ I feel like I am tempting fate here, but it really isn’t about individuals. In a different political culture with different expectations Edmonds would not have answered the way she did either.

¹⁴ The “centre-right” party in Australia is a coalition of Liberal and National parties, with the latter being very right-wing indeed.